The Black Swan book cover by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Book

The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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The Black Swan is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument about rare events that dominate outcomes and about how people explain them afterward. ChartClub lists the 2010 second edition. It is a risk essay, not a trading system, and its stronger claims are not treated as settled.

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Listing facts checked 2026-10-10.

Author
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher
Random House Trade Paperbacks
Year
2010
Pages
480

Key takeaways

  • This is the 2010 second edition, with the added robustness section.
  • The subject is rare, high-impact events, not trade entries.
  • The book's stronger claims are not treated as settled fact.
Penguin Random House lists the paperback ISBN 9780812973815, Random House Trade Paperbacks, on sale May 11, 2010, at 480 pages. The cover says second edition and names the added section On Robustness and Fragility. The subtitle is The Impact of the Highly Improbable. A trader can use the warning: a quiet sample can hide the trade that matters, and a story after the fact is not a forecast. The book will not say what to buy. ChartClub already lists Fooled by Randomness. This is the later, broader essay, not a second copy of that book. The publisher image includes a colored backdrop. The full cover is visible and was not cropped.

Tags

  • risk
  • probability
  • decision-making

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