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@chartclub· Jun 11
MARKET INSIGHT
# SpaceX IPO Tomorrow: What Traders Need to Know SpaceX lists on the Nasdaq tomorrow under the ticker $SPCX at an offering price of $135 per share. The deal is expected to raise $75 billion, making it the largest IPO in history. Here is what matters for traders. ## The Numbers - **Valuation:** Approximately $1.77 trillion at the offering price - **Revenue (2025):** $15.8 billion total, $10.6 billion from Starlink - **Net Loss (2025):** $4.9 billion - **Accumulated Deficit:** $41.3 billion since founding - **Subscribers (Starlink):** 10.3 million across 155+ countries ## Retail Allocation SpaceX allocated up to 30% of IPO shares to retail investors. That is 3-6x the typical retail allocation. This creates significant first-day demand but also sets up potential volatility as retail positions churn. ## The Sector Effect Watch $RKLB and $ASTS for sympathy moves. Historically, marquee IPOs create sector-wide re-rating events. The EV sector rallied when Tesla listed. Crypto infrastructure names moved when Coinbase debuted. The same dynamic should play out in space names, particularly those with real revenue and government contracts. ## Risk Factors The company is not profitable. The xAI acquisition adds operational complexity. Starlink's ARPU is declining as it scales into lower-margin markets. The valuation assumes execution on Starship, Mars, and AI integration. First-day pops in mega-IPOs often fade within weeks. Traders should be cautious about chasing extended moves. ## Key Level The offering price of $135 becomes the floor to watch. If $SPCX holds above $135 after the first week, the IPO is a success. A break below the offering price would signal institutional distribution. #SpaceXIPO #SPCX #IPO #SpaceEconomy
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