Thinking in Bets book cover by Annie Duke
Book

Thinking in Bets

Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Annie Duke

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Thinking in Bets is Annie Duke's book on judging decisions by the odds at the time, not by the outcome afterward. ChartClub lists it for traders because that distinction matters. It is not a poker system and not a market system.

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Listed in the ChartClub Directory.

Listing facts checked 2026-10-10.

Author
Annie Duke
Publisher
Penguin Random House
Year
2019
Pages
288

Key takeaways

  • The book separates a good decision from a lucky outcome.
  • Poker is the teaching domain, not the market.
  • It belongs next to a review process, not in place of one.
Penguin Random House dates the paperback ISBN 9780735216372 to 7 May 2019, 288 pages. The subtitle is Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. Duke uses poker to separate a good decision from a lucky result. A trader who reviews only winners will misread the process. That is the relevant chapter for ChartClub. The book does not say how to size a trade, read a chart, or build a strategy. Outcome bias is the topic, and the examples are mostly outside markets. Use it as a decision reference next to a journal. Do not file it as a trading text.

Tags

  • decision-making
  • probability
  • psychology

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